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  • Updated: April 26, 2020

COVID-19: How Nigeria's Recovery Rate Dropped By 30% Last Week

COVID-19: How Nigeria's Recovery Rate Dropped By 30% Last We

 

At a time when Nigeria's coronavirus cases have doubled, the recovery rate has dropped significantly, Allnews' analysis has shown.

According to data from the Nigeria Centre for Disease Control (NCDC), the country had recorded a total of 1182 cases as of Saturday midnight. Of these, 222 infected people have recovered and have been discharged while the death toll rose to 35. 

A breakdown of all the cases shows that Lagos state has so far reported 689 cases, followed by FCT-138, Kano-77, Ogun-35, Osun-32, Gombe-30, Katsina-30, Borno-30, Edo-22, Oyo-18, Kwara-11, Akwa Ibom-11, Bauchi-11, Kaduna-10, Ekiti-8, Ondo-4, Delta-6, Rivers-3, Jigawa-2, Enugu-2, Niger-2, Abia-2, Zamfara-2, Sokoto-2 while, Benue, Anambra, Adamawa, Plateau, and Imo have one case each.

Nigeria recorded 641 new cases last week. When compared with the total of 541 recorded in the last seven weeks, it represents a 118.5 per cent increase. Recall that the country recorded its index case of the virus in an Italian man who visited Lagos on February 28.

Moreover, the average daily figure of confirmed cases rose last week when compared with the previous week’s average daily figure. The average daily figure for last week was 96 compared to 32 for the previous week (April 12- April 19).

Meanwhile, the number of those who recovered dropped drastically, consequently affecting the recovery rate.

It should be noted that 96 were discharged the previous week but 56 patients were discharged last week. That represents a drop from 43.0% to 8.7% recovery rate. 

According to data from NCDC, no one was discharged on Wednesday and Thursday. 

However, among the 56 who recovered this week are Kaduna State Governor, Nasir El-Rufai; fiancee of the popular singer Davido, Chioma Rowland and Speaker of the Edo State House of Assembly, Frank Okiye. 

Also, in what appears to be the reality of NCDC's prediction, in a week, the pandemic had spread to nine new states in addition to the previous 19 states and the FCT that have recorded at least one case of the infection. 

This online medium reviews how the number of confirmed cases increased while the recovery rate dropped.

Timeline:

On Sunday, eighty-six new cases of #COVID19 were reported; 70 in Lagos, 7 in FCT, 3 in Katsina, 3 in Akwa Ibom, 1 in Jigawa, 1 in Bauchi and 1 in Borno. 

As at 11:50 pm, 19th of April, there were 627 confirmed cases of the disease reported in Nigeria while 170 have been discharged and 21 persons have died. 

On Monday, thirty-eight new cases of #COVID19 were reported; 23 in Kano, 5 in Gombe, 3 in Kaduna, 2 in Borno, 2 in Abia, 1 in FCT, 1 in Sokoto and 1 in Ekiti. 

As at 11:10 pm, 20th of April, there were 665 confirmed cases reported in Nigeria. 188 were discharged and 22 persons had died. 

On Tuesday, one hundred and seventeen new cases were reported; 59 in Lagos, 29 in FCT, 14 in Kano, 6 in Borno, 4 in Katsina, 3 in Ogun, 1 in Rivers and 1 in Bauchi. 

As at 11:25 pm, 21st of April, there were 782 confirmed cases of coronavirus reported in Nigeria. 197 were discharged while the disease had claimed 25 lives. 

On the same day, NCDC notified the public that the five cases previously reported in Lagos State have been transferred to Ogun State. Therefore, Lagos had reported 430 confirmed cases while Ogun had reported 20 confirmed cases. 

On Wednesday, ninety-one new cases were reported; 74 in Lagos, 5 in Katsina, 4 in Ogun, 2 in Delta, 2 in Edo, 1 in Kwara, 1 in Oyo, 1 in FCT and 1 in Adamawa. 

As at 11:25 pm, 22nd of April, there were 873 confirmed cases reported in Nigeria. 197 had been discharged while 28 persons had died. 

On Thursday, one hundred and eight new cases were reported; 78 in Lagos, 14 in FCT, 5 in Ogun, 4 in Gombe, 3 Borno, 2 in Akwa Ibom, 1 in Kwara and 1 in Plateau. 

As at 11:30 pm, 23rd of April, there were 981 confirmed cases of the pandemic reported in Nigeria. 197 patients had been discharged while 31 persons had died. 

On Friday, one hundred and fourteen new cases of the pandemic were reported; 80 in Lagos, 21 in Gombe, 5 in FCT, 2 in Zamfara, 2 in Edo, 1 in Ogun, 1 in Oyo, 1 in Kaduna and 1 in Sokoto

As at 11:30 pm, 24th of April, there were 1095 confirmed cases reported in Nigeria. 208 persons had been discharged while 32 had been killed by the disease. 

On Saturday evening, eight-seven new cases of the pandemic were reported; 33 in Lagos, 18 in Borno, 12 in Osun, 9 in Katsina, 4 in Kano, 4 in Ekiti, 3 in Edo, 3 in Bauchi and 1 in Imo. 

As at 11:55 pm, 25th of April, there were 1182 confirmed cases reported in Nigeria. 222 had been discharged while 35 had died. 

The mysterious deaths in Kano

While Lagos remains the epicentre, there appears to be a rising surge in Kano, where scores of the deaths recorded are suspected to be coronavirus'. 

According to the Deputy Coordinator of the COVID-19 Kano state response team, Sabitu Shuaibu, 640 mysterious deaths were recorded in a week. 

For days, Kano state was missing on the chart because of the pause on the conduct of tests. Experts have however predicted an outrageous rise in the figures from Kano if the pandemic is not properly managed. 

Many Nigerians and groups have however blamed the Kano state Governor Abdullahi Ganduje for not being proactive.

In fact, Nigeria's biggest opposition party, Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) blamed Mr Ganduje for abandoning governance in a statement signed by its Publicity Secretary, Kola Ologbodiyan. 

The PDP lamented President Buhari's failure to take any concrete step on the frightening development, "but he is, as usual, waiting to be prodded to stand up to the demand of the office and proceed to Kano state to identify with the people, find solution and contain the ugly situation."

"The party describes as lamentable that President Muhammadu Buhari, who promised to lead from the front, and who recently took up the toga of ECOWAS COVID-19 Response Champion, had rather receded into the safety of Aso Villa and failed to promptly activate any concrete and visible action to investigate and arrest the situation in Kano, where Nigerians are dying in their hundreds."
 
The political group described the situation as another manifestation of leadership failure and insensitivity of the Buhari-led All Progressives Congress (APC) administration to the plight of Nigerians at critical moments.

" Our party holds that the situation in Kano demands an immediate Presidential visit and investigation at a very high level. Those dying in Kano are Nigerians and must not be abandoned. The development deserves an utmost Presidential attention to avoid further escalation."

Blaming the Kano state Governor, the party stated that it is evident that Governor Abdullahi Ganduje and his APC-led administration in Kano State are "totally incompetent and have become overwhelmed after failing to take appropriate measures to combat the spread of the coronavirus or whatever medical situation that has taken over the state."

" When Ganduje, who is being dogged by allegations of corruption, was expected to ensure compliance to preventive measures, he rather chose to abandon governance and spent executive time pursuing controversial extraneous issues that have no direct benefits on the lives of the people.

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